Games of influence in climate change negotiations: Modelling interactions

P. Courtois (1) , T. Tazdaït (2)

1 UAB - Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona = Autonomous University of Barcelona = Universidad Autónoma de Barcelona
2 CIRED - centre international de recherche sur l'environnement et le développement

We present an integrated framework for structuring and evaluating dynamic climate change decision-making taking into account influential processes occurring during negotiation rounds. Imitation, persuasion and dissuasion are considered. To represent negotiation outcomes, we define a stochastic model derived from concepts of thermodynamics. We use the master equation to describe games of influence. We illustrate the model by simulating the formation and the evolution of a cooperative coalition in the course of a negotiation round. We derive conditions for the emergence and the enlargement of a cooperative agreement. © 2007 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

Mots clés: MODIFICATION CLIMAT

Mots clés: CONDITION CLIMATIQUE

Domaines: Sciences de l'environnement; Economies et finances

P. Courtois, T. Tazdaït. Games of influence in climate change negotiations: Modelling interactions. Ecological Modelling, 2007, 204 (41002), pp.301. ⟨10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2007.01.015⟩. ⟨hal-00716398⟩